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    [樓市快報]昆山樓市5大信號曝光!房價、利率...下半年關鍵節點來了 [復制鏈接]

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    樓主  發表于: 07-05

    6月結束,七月伊始,昆山樓市已經進入了下半年的關鍵節點。小房大膽預測,只要下半沒有大調控出現,昆山樓市下半年不會出現大的房價波動,2019年的整體走勢就是前高后低,先熱后穩。

    那么小房先帶大家回顧一下上半年的昆山樓市情況,再預測下半年的買房走向吧。

    歷經半年起伏,新房均價回到原點

    據小房統計,6月新房均價為19607元/㎡,在經歷了半年的漲跌起伏后,基本與今年1月新房均價持平。目前昆山新房市場穩定,在限價政策(嚴控備案價)下不會有高價盤冒頭,也時有低價盤出現。

    下半年昆山樓市,有5項純新盤入市,屆時均價必然有所波動,新房均價或將又破2萬大關,剛需盤依舊搶手供不應求。整體昆山新房價格走向,將保持穩中帶漲的趨勢

    風向2上半年利率上調 下半年利率保持平穩

    從去年年底開始,全國各地掀起了一股房貸利率下調的東風,為樓市年初的小陽春做出了巨大貢獻,其中廈門利率下調幅度最大,首套利率最低可以執行98折。

    但可惜,這股東風沒能吹拂到昆山樓市。在今年6月,各地銀行又紛紛開始上調利率,這次房貸利率的上調,昆山倒是趕上了.....

    據小房調查顯示,6月昆山有多家銀行進行了利率上調,其中郵政銀行利率從上浮18%上調至上浮25%,上調幅度最大。以郵政銀行貸款200萬為例,上調后買房成本激增了11萬元。

    目前昆山首套已婚利率為上浮25%、單身為上浮30%、二套房還清利率為上浮25%、二套房未還清為上浮30%-35%。

    據中原地產首席分析師表示,現在房貸處于高位,再增加的可能性不大,從當下信貸政策看,預計下半年房貸利率會基本保持平穩

    新規調整后,2019首拍地價穩定

    昆山上半年樓市火熱,許多購房者都擔心土拍來勢兇猛,抬高房價。但在土拍前夕,蘇州**了史上最嚴調控,昆山緊接著對即將舉行的土拍,進行了延期、下調指導價、調整競價規則等一系列的補充公告。

    相比調整前:市場指導總價最高降低了14123萬元、市場指導樓面價最高降低了1259元/㎡最終在嚴格執行了土拍新政后,5個地塊均未出現高溢價地王。所以此次調控,也是根據市場的變化,來完善土地競拍規則,從而合理地引導土地市場健康發展。

    作為樓市風向標的土地市場,將間接影響未來房價走向。目前來看,昆山土地市場大火的紅利期已結束,土地市場送給樓市的禮物是一份寫著大大的“穩”字的招牌,對于未來新房房價來看,“穩中帶漲”或許是主要方向!但是考慮到,多地塊已要求現房或者封頂后銷售,幾年后的樓市,究竟會起伏到什么程度,目前尚未可知。

    5大純新盤,超5000套房源入市

    據小房統計,昆山上半年約有22家樓盤,超5000套房源入市,而在下半年預計將有31家樓盤,推出約5069套房源入市。雖然對比推房數量相差無幾, 但上半年推盤的主力區域是城東區域,開盤現場也十分火熱,房源多數秒光。而下半年推盤主力區域為花橋區域,隨著長三角一體化的確定,花橋作為環滬開發區也被越來越多的購房者看好。

    下半年還將有5大純新盤入市,分別是周市的睿怡庭(樓盤詳情戶型圖相冊地圖0512-57017171)和朗悅華園、城中臻望花園、陸家蘭亭瓏府、張浦蘭亭都薈(樓盤詳情戶型圖相冊地圖0512-36906666)。之前陸家、張浦、城中房源庫存緊張,純新盤的入市為區域及時注入了新鮮血液,緩解了區域供需緊張的情況。

    買房建議:平復心態 綜合考慮購房

    從昆山樓市現狀上看,下半年依舊會以穩為主,各項調控政策將繼續發揮穩房價、穩地價、穩市場的作用。而從長期上看,隨著時間的推移,城市多項利好規劃的建成、落地,昆山房價可能會迎來一波小漲幅。

    在現在的樓市中,許多人被秒光盤的新聞所影響,變得著急看房購房。但小房建議大家平復心態,別被外界的信息影響,從而做出不理智的置業選擇。下半年的房源庫存、類型豐富。有需求的購房者,可以結合自己的需求、根據城市規劃、樓市動向綜合考慮,要是覺得遇到了合適的樓盤后,就不要猶豫趕快下手吧。

    本帖評分記錄
    york1902 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-11
    六六―大順 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-07
    陌上初春 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-06
    lichen8088 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-06
    馮啟 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-06
    1515154202 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    刀疤九 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    王文藝 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    zbs1997 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    不需要多問 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    12
    11條評分昆幣+11
    級別: 昆山新人
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    沙發  發表于: 07-05
    穩中帶漲不就是漲 最煩官方這種說辭,房價只要一直漲就是快漲暴斃和慢漲慢慢拖死的區別。怎么著以后老百姓都沒好日子過了。
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    板凳  發表于: 07-05
    茶水費算進去沒有
    本帖評分記錄
    少年游· 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-07
    瑞士豬 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    2條評分昆幣+2
    美女離線tensor2019
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    地板  發表于: 07-05
    現在買房真的累,想想10年前買房多簡單,新房,二手房都沒那么多套路,準備好首付款就好了, o|+E+l9\  
    現在買個房子中介套路深,能騙就騙能搶就搶,新房政府弄個限價結果有錢也買不到,真想買只能找中介(黃牛)這里又是坑. m]1!-`(*  
    買套房子對于普通老百姓多不容易,中間還要被昆山的黑中介坑,這個市場真的太亂了,買套房除了該交的房款和稅費,還要被黑中介坑掉10萬-50萬. 7:h<`_HT(X  
    真希望下班樓市慘淡,餓死這群黑中介(北區)
    本帖評分記錄
    名字沒人用過 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-08
    tjccyh 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-08
    文森特 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-07
    遠方的小鳥 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-07
    櫻桃大龍蝦 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-07
    小豬快跑快跑 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-06
    藍色的太陽水 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    大崔啊 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    斷浪 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    放不下你 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    10條評分昆幣+10
    帥哥離線酸豆角

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    4樓 發表于: 07-05
    穩中帶漲
    給我點贊是壇友應具備的最基本素養!
    美女離線煙舞江南
    級別: 昆山新人
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    434
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    5樓 發表于: 07-05
    越調控,價格越高,買房都要茶水費,加價,捆綁車位銷售什么的,太亂了,大昆山,沒人管嗎
    美女離線煙舞江南
    級別: 昆山新人
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    6樓 發表于: 07-05
    拿地時樓面價二三千,備案價能賣到2萬左右,這價格是誰同意的?
    本帖評分記錄
    海底小縱隊 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-05
    1條評分昆幣+1
    帥哥離線kaifengjack
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    7樓 發表于: 07-05
    基本已經不考慮買房子了。我日,我的江南夢破了
    本帖評分記錄
    河畔 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-06
    1條評分昆幣+1
    喜歡昆山的美,靜、凈。
    離線對久當歌
    級別: 昆山過客
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    8樓 發表于: 07-05
    新房好賣,二手房掛上去試試就知道了,不降價好賣嗎
    本帖評分記錄
    不傳球 昆幣 +1 - 來自昆山論壇APP 07-08
    1條評分昆幣+1
    帥哥在線城南小霸王
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    唐僧肉好吃啊!!!
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